Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.172885 0.204149 0.239132 0.281132 0.330147 0.385497 0.452705
2025-08-24 0.126596 0.166794 0.216584 0.282604 0.367661 0.473355 0.614460
2025-08-31 0.096855 0.138571 0.194324 0.273918 0.384223 0.531233 0.741517
2025-09-07 0.080839 0.123769 0.184830 0.277412 0.413526 0.605453 0.895587
2025-09-14 0.068405 0.111158 0.175377 0.277992 0.436790 0.671863 1.044511
2025-09-21 0.057776 0.099121 0.164380 0.273725 0.450930 0.724948 1.178170
2025-09-28 0.049894 0.089978 0.156186 0.272039 0.467841 0.782821 1.324163
2025-10-05 0.046161 0.087085 0.157505 0.285625 0.510452 0.885101 1.551332
2025-10-12 0.043588 0.085754 0.161117 0.303261 0.561489 1.005964 1.821457
2025-10-19 0.040008 0.081971 0.159774 0.311701 0.597035 1.103627 2.061245
2025-10-26 0.035858 0.076436 0.154404 0.311867 0.617270 1.175951 2.262813
2025-11-02 0.031153 0.069063 0.144519 0.302052 0.617403 1.211438 2.399989
2025-11-09 0.026304 0.060870 0.132373 0.287147 0.607790 1.231259 2.517114
2025-11-16 0.023604 0.056894 0.128311 0.288262 0.630504 1.316059 2.770664
2025-11-23 0.020445 0.051339 0.120078 0.279375 0.631362 1.357593 2.942484
2025-11-30 0.018670 0.048687 0.117762 0.282933 0.658817 1.455596 3.239651
2025-12-07 0.016904 0.045751 0.114360 0.283524 0.679729 1.541957 3.521284
2025-12-14 0.015049 0.042266 0.109157 0.279175 0.688871 1.603884 3.756564
2025-12-21 0.013573 0.039508 0.105294 0.277457 0.703783 1.679831 4.030496
2025-12-28 0.013064 0.039266 0.107636 0.291302 0.757305 1.848000 4.530003
2026-01-04 0.012769 0.039571 0.111419 0.309273 0.822974 2.050659 5.129395
2026-01-11 0.012055 0.038554 0.111584 0.317874 0.866256 2.205055 5.630361
2026-01-18 0.011056 0.036523 0.108724 0.318043 0.888010 2.309999 6.022902